The east coast of Australia is the nation's
true heartland, with the combined population of Queensland, New South Wales, Australian Capital Territory, Victoria, and Tasmania representing 81% of Australia's population. Large property markets exist in all state capitals, with Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane accounting for the vast majority of market share. Prices across most cities have remained strong despite the COVID-19 pandemic, with median house prices across capital cities up 4.6%, and median unit prices up 2.2% over the year.
According to the latest Domain House Price
Report, there has been major discrepancies between state capitals and regional
areas over recent months. While Melbourne has been through a number of
challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic and shutdown response, prices are
holding despite a significant number of Victorians interested in moving to other
states. Increased interstate activity on realestate.com has come from a number
of inner and affluent Melbourne suburbs, including Malvern, Hawthorn,
Northcote, Richmond, and Brunswick.
The Sydney and Brisbane markets are both
forging ahead, with recent data by Select Residential Property (SRP)
highlighting the hottest suburbs as we enter 2021. The NSW capital has mostly
shrugged off its COVID-19 worries, with affluent areas doing very well and
healthy growth recorded across the city's south. According to SRP's head of
research Jeremy Sheppard, the south is "an aspirational area, it's
semi-affluent, not as much as the eastern suburbs... With interest rates
dropping and with prices coming back somewhat from the last boom, it seems to
be gathering a lot of interest from buyers."
The hottest suburbs in Sydney right now
include Dover Heights with 6.6% growth forecast over the next year; Beverley
Park with 6.3% growth; and Illawong, Kareela, Como, and Peakhurst Heights with
6.1% growth forecast. This growth is expected to continue well beyond 12
months, with Dover Heights forecast to reach 14% growth over 2 years, and the
other suburbs mentioned forecast to record 13% growth. While the western
suburbs are also expected to grow, homeowners may have to wait a few years
longer to see real gains on the ground.
In the sunshine state, a number of suburbs
in Brisbane are also expected to perform well over the next 12-24 months. Some
areas are set to skyrocket in value according to SRP, including Carina Heights
with 7.3% and 15% growth over 1 and 2 years; Mount Gravatt, Mansfield, and
Chapel Hill with 7.1% and 15% growth; and Graceville with 7.0% and 14% growth
over 12 and 24 months. As more Victorians search for homes in Queensland,
prices are also likely to boom in the coastal locations of Surfers Paradise,
Noosa, and Broadbeach.
On the other side of the price growth
spectrum, median prices have remained virtually flat over a five-year period in
more than 20 east coast suburbs. The Melbourne suburbs of Doncaster, Southbank,
and Abbotsford recorded 0.0%, 0.5%, and 0.9% growth respectively. In Sydney,
the high-end suburb of Sans Souci recorded just 0.2% growth, with Strathfield,
Burwood, Warwick Farm, and Haymarket all flat over five years. Up north in
Brisbane, Hamilton was flat over five years and West End recorded negative
growth at -0.1%.